Thursday, September 14, 2006

Here we go again: Lane predicted to move up Baja


000
WTPZ33 KNHC 150556
TCPEP3
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LANE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 6A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132006
1100 PM PDT THU SEP 14 2006

...LANE GRADUALLY GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED...

A HURRICANE WATCH AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAIN IN EFFECT
ALONG THE COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA FROM BUENA VISTA
SOUTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST...AND FROM AGUA BLANCA SOUTHWARD
ALONG THE WEST COAST. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36
HOURS. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST
OF MEXICO FROM LAZARO CARDENAS NORTHWARD TO EL ROBLITO...INCLUDING
THE ISLAS MARIAS.

A HURRICANE WATCH IS ALSO IN EFFECT ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST OF
MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO NORTHWARD TO CABO CORRIENTES...AND FOR THE
ISLAS MARIAS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA AND ALONG THE COAST
OF NORTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF LANE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1100 PM PDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LANE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.4 WEST OR ABOUT 70
MILES...115 KM...SOUTHWEST OF MANZANILLO MEXICO AND ABOUT 425
MILES...685 KM...SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO.

LANE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR. THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON
THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF LANE IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN OFF
THE COAST OF MEXICO. HOWEVER...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS WILL
CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED AND LANE COULD BECOME A
HURRICANE LATER TODAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.

TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE
WEST CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6
INCHES POSSIBLE OVER THE COASTAL MOUNTAINS. THIS RAINFALL COULD
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.

REPEATING THE 1100 PM PDT POSITION...18.4 N...105.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
200 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER RHOME/KNABB